Calibrated probability estimates for estimating task time

There is a popular idea in software engineering, that is that it is not possible to estimate how long a project will take. Articles like this and this are this argue this compellingly. However, this i

Read More…

Bayesian Drunk Driving

Driving drunk is illegal for a good reason, it’s way riskier than driving sober. This article isn’t about driving drunk though, it’s more about the sloppy thought processes that can

Read More…

All Posts by Category or Tags.